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By Presenters

IBC 2008 Scientific Programme

Disclaimer: This is the Final Programme, as at 20 June 2008.

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Tuesday, 15 July 2008

08:30

08:30	Session 6a: Invited Session: Critical evaluation of statistical methods proposed for microarray analysis
	Chair: Byung-Soo Kim, Yonsei University, Korea, Republic Of
	Session Organiser: Byung Soo Kim In Memory of Andrei Yakovlev (1944-2008) Lutz Edler, German Cancer Research Center, Germany Is there an Alternative to Increasing the Sample Size in Microarray Studies? Xing Qiu, University of Rochester, United States False Discovery Rate-Controlled Gene Selection under Variance Heterogeneity and Correlated Expression Measurements Michael G. Schimek, Medical University of Graz, Austria A Robust Unified Approach to Analyzing Methylation and Gene Expression Data Shili Lin, The Ohio State University, United States Discussant 1 (Lutz Edler) Discussant 2 (Geoff McLachlan)

08:30	Session 6b: Invited Session: Meta-analysis of time-to-event outcomes
	Chair: Fotios Siannis, University of Athens, Greece
	Session Organisers: Fotios Siannis and Vern Farewell Meta-analysis of Time-to-event Outcomes: Common Practices in Oncology Jean-Pierre Pignon, Institut Gustave-Roussy, France Semi-Parametric Approaches for the Individual Patient Data Meta-Analysis of Time-to-Event Outcomes Paula Williamson, University of Liverpool, United Kingdom Non-parametric Models for Meta-analyis of Survival Data Hans van Houwelingen, Leiden University Medical Center, Netherlands Discussant (Mahesh Parmar) General Conclusions (Fotios Siannis)

08:30	Session 6c: Analysis of Correlated Data
	Alternative Bayesian and Classic Joint Modelling Approaches for the Mean and Covariance Structures in Normal Longitudinal Data Vicente Núñez-Antón, University of the Basque Country (UPV/EHU), Spain Relationship Identification using Linked Autosomal Markers Nuala Sheehan, University of Leicester, United Kingdom Hierarchical Generalised Linear Models (HGLM) Relating Bovine Tuberculosis and Milk Production and Quality in Dairy Cows Fiona Boland, UCD, Ireland A Pragmatic Bootstrap for Inference about Variance Components in Multilevel Models Daniel Farewell, Cardiff University, United Kingdom Longitudinal Modeling when Response and Time-dependent Covariates are Measured at Different Timepoints Joel Dubin, University of Waterloo, Canada Multivariate Poisson Distribution to Model Longitudinal Count Data with Nonlinear Behavior Dalton Andrade, UFSC, Brazil

08:30	Session 6d: Capture/Recapture Methodology
	Detecting Parameter Redundancy in Complex Ecological Models Diana Cole, University of Kent, United Kingdom Multi-site Mark-recapture Model Selection using Score Tests Rachel Borysiewicz, University of Kent, United Kingdom Spatially Explicit Maximum Likelihood Methods for Capture-recapture Studies David Borchers, University of St Andrews, United Kingdom Mark-Dependent Recapture Probability and Temporary Emigration in Mark-Recapture Studies Sophie Smout, CREEM, United Kingdom Bayesian Estimation of Probability at Distance Zero Using a Double Platform and Heterogeneity Model Joao Filipe Monteiro, University of Evora, Portugal The Lasso as a Tool for Model Selection Daniel Brown, University of Kent, United Kingdom

08:30	Session 6e: Genetics
	A Multivariate Method to Investigate the Spatial Patterns of the Genetic Variability Thibaut Jombart, Université de Lyon, Université Lyon 1, France, France Mapping Quantitiative Trait Loci for Repeated Ordinal Scores on Raspberry Ripening Christine Hackett, BioSS, United Kingdom Dimension Reduction Approaches in Genome-Wide Association Studies Using Prior Information Kent Bailey, Mayo Clinic, United States A Comparison of Family-based Association Tests in the Presence of Linkage Jérémie Nsengimana, University of Leeds, United Kingdom Unbiased Estimation of Pairwise Genetic Similarity from Binary AFLP Data Gerrit Gort, Wageningen University, Netherlands Rates of Growth for Y-linked Genes through Bisexual Branching Processes Rodrigo Martinez, University of Extremadura, Spain

08:30	Session 6f: Modelling Infectious Diseases
	Simultaneously Modeling of Antigen and Antibody Information Dominik Heinzmann, University of Zurich, Switzerland Data-based Forecasting of Epidemics in Early Stages Mario Ziller, Friedrich-Loeffler-Institute, Federal Research Institute for Animal Health, Germany Elucidation of the Factors Producing any Observed Differences in the Epidemiological Patterns of Airborne Infections across Europe Niel Hens, Hasselt University, Belgium The Micro-Epidemic Dynamics of Pneumococcal Transmission in Day Care Groups and Families Fabian Hoti, National Public Health Institute , Finland Clustering of HCV Viral Load Profiles in Untreated Patients Kathleen O'Sullivan, University College Cork, Ireland Assessing Practical Identifiability in Hepatitis C Viral Kinetic Modeling Eva Herrmann, Goethe University Frankfurt, Germany

08:30	Session 6g: Poster Session 3: Clinical Trials, Health Services Research, Health Economics & Infectious Diseases
	The Utility of Prediction Models to Oversample the Long Term Uninsured Steven Cohen, Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, United States Designing and Implementing Adaptive Designs for Clinical Trials Eva Miller, ALMAC Clinical Technologies, United States A 46-Item Checklist for the Statistical Evaluation of Medical Research Papers Hanno Ulmer, Innsbruck Medical University, Austria Investigating Association Between Behavior, Corticosterone, Heart Rate, and Blood Pressure in Rats Using Surrogate Marker Evaluation Methodology Abel Tilahun , University Hasselt, Belgium Relationship between Intra-Cluster Correlation and Sample Size Requirement for Cluster Randomized Trial Hrishikesh Chakraborty, RTI International, United States Applications of Repeated Measurement Analysis in the Study on Efficacy of Levocetrizine, Desloratidine and Fexofenadine in Histamine Induced Wheal Suppression ANIL MATHEW, PSG INSTITUTE OF MEDICAL SCIENCES AND RESEARCH, India On Some Gamma, Inverted Gamma and Gamma Slash Distributions Kishore Kumar Das, Gauhati University, India Practical Issues in Sample Size Calculations for Comparing Means in Clinical and Epidemiological Studies Arminda Lucia Siqueira, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG), Brazil IntraClass and Concordance Correlation Coefficients as a Measure of Reliability Joe Matsuoka, Quintiles Transnational Japan K.K., Japan Similarity between the Concordance and Iintraclass Correlation Cofficients Hiroshi Ohtsu, The University of Tokyo, Japan A Comparison of Methods for Assessing Treatment Effect Heterogeneity Richard Emsley, The University of Manchester, United Kingdom A Comparison of Methods for Analysing Incomplete Longitudinal Binary Data Rhian Daniel, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom Approximate Subject-deletion Influence Diagnostics for Inverse Probability of Censoring Weighted (IPCW) Methods Satoshi Hattori, Kurume University, Japan Capacity Modelling of an Endoscopy unit in Northern Ireland using Discrete Event Simulation Christine Allen, Queen's University Belfast, United Kingdom Inferential Problems in Emerging Epidemics - The Importance of Variability Ake Svensson, Stockholm University, Sweden Statistical Analysis of 8-Point Self Measured Capillary Glucose Profiles in Type 2 Diabetic Patients to Compare the Efficacy of Three Different Insulin Regimens Sanjoy Paul, University of Oxford, United Kingdom Default Imputation, Multiple Imputation and Latent Class Imputation for Paediatric Audit Data Elodie Perrodeau, University of Leeds, United Kingdom A New Proposal for Choice of Values of Parameters for Restricted Randomization Rules Guenther Kundt, University of Rostock, Germany Multilevel Modelling of Correlated Data to Show Impact of Carotid Endarterectomy Katie Harris, University of Leeds, United Kingdom Predictive Models for the Growth of Bacillus Cereus Eunhee Kim, Korea National Institute of Toxicological Institute, Korea, Republic Of Intervention Models of Mosquitoe Larval, Habitats and their Impacts on Malaria Transmission. A Case Study Isaac Dontwi, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Kumasi, Ghana, Ghana Total Estimator with Non-response using Calibration Method: Simulated and Empirical Medical Data Carlos Eduardo Sandoval, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Colombia Longitudinal Assessment of Air Conduction Audiograms in a Phase III Clinical Trial for Prevention of Sporadic Colorectal Adenomas Christine E. McLaren, University of California, Irvine, United States Extended GEEs with Random Effects in Longitudinal Studies Chao Huang, University of Manchester, United Kingdom Sequential Characteristics of Wooldridge´s Estimators of a Dynamical Random Effects Probit Model Maria Aparecida de Paiva Franco, Universidade Federal de São Carlos, Brazil A Latent Class Mixture Model combined with proportional odds Model for Repeated Measurements in Clinical Trials Naoko Taguchi, Kowa Co. Ltd.,, Japan Survival Extrapolation David Lunn, Medical Research Council, United Kingdom Time Profile Mixture Model for Longitudinal Count Data Hideaki Uehara, Tsumura & Co., Japan Bayesian Inference for Diffusion Processes with Applications in Epidemiology Christiane Dargatz, Ludwig Maximilians University Munich, Germany Modelling Incomplete Data for a Disease Process Henry Mwambi, University of KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa Missing Values in Clinical Trials Rogier Donders, Radboud University Nijmegen Medical Centre, Netherlands

10:15

	Coffee Break

10:45

10:45	Session 7a: Invited Session: Causal inference through marginal structural models and dynamical models
	Chair: Daniel Commenges, INSERM, France
	Session Organiser: Daniel Commenges General Introduction (Daniel Commenges) Estimation of Controlled Direct Effects Stijn Vansteelandt, Ghent University, Belgium Marginal Structural Cox Models for Dynamic Treatment Regimes Miguel Hernan, Harvard School of Public Health, United States Dynamic Path Analysis Odd O Aalen, University of Oslo, Norway Directed Graphs for Representing Causal Influences Vanessa Didelez, University of Bristol, United Kingdom Discussant (Els Goetghebeur) General Discussion

10:45	Session 7b: Statistics in Medical Research I
	Reducting Classication Rules Systems Applied to Thyroid Functional Diagnosis Alejandro Rabasa, Miguel Hernandez University, Spain Graphical Methods on Health Economics Hope Mbachu, University of Port Harcourt, Rivers State, Nigeria., Nigeria A Framework for Estimation of Area under the Concentration Versus Time Curves (AUC's) in Complete and Incomplete Sampling Designs Thomas Jaki, Lancaster University, United Kingdom A Class of Weighted Log-rank Test Statistics for Interval-censored Data Ramon Oller, Universitat de Vic, Spain Quantitative Analysis of Humoral Immunity Degradation Lev Sirota, FDA, United States "Promotion Bias" in Clinical Research Peter Imrey, The Cleveland Clinic Foundation, United States

10:45	Session 7c: Microarray I
	Construction of Optimal Designs for Estimating the Treatmentxcell Line Interaction Effect in Two-colour cDNA Microarray Experiments Sven Stanzel, RWTH Aachen University, Germany Statistical Methodology for the Analysis of Dye-switch Microarray Experiments Tristan Mary-Huard, AgroParisTech / INRA, France Statistical Aspects of Validating Microarray Results with qRT-PCR Claus Mayer, Biomathematics & Statistics Scotland, United Kingdom Significance Analysis of Microarrays Outcomes may be altered by Data Structures Valet Fabien, Institut Curie, France k-FWER Controlling Procedures with Possibly Data-driven Order of Hypotheses livio finos, Univ. Roma "Tor Vergata", Italy Stratified False Discovery Rates and q-values for Gene Expression Microarrays Angelo Canty, McMaster University, Canada

10:45	Session 7d: Epidemiological Methods II
	Semiparametric-Efficient Estimation for Multi-stage Case-control Studies Alan Lee, University of Auckland, New Zealand A Spatial Scan Statistic with a Modified Llikelihood Ratio Toshiro Tango, National Institute of Public Health, Japan Designing Two-phase Prevalence Studies in the Absence of a Gold Standard Test Agus Salim, National University of Singapore, Singapore The Exact Distribution of the Heterogeneity Statistic Q in Meta-analysis Brad Biggerstaff, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, United States An Integrated Epidemiological Design to Improve Multilevel Analysis Jose Miguel Martinez Martinez, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, Spain LOGITSURV - A Method to Estimate Relative Risks from Prevalence Studies Ekkehart Dietz, Charite-Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Germany

10:45	Session 7e: Applied statistics
	Count Data Control Charts for the Surveillance of Infectious Diseases Michael Höhle, Munich University of Technology, Germany Creating and Classifying Measures of Linear Association Wiebe Pestman, Utrecht University, Netherlands On Quantile and Expectile Regression Thomas Yee, University of Auckland, New Zealand Forming Clusters from Census Areas with Similar Tabular Statistics Murray Jorgensen, University of Waikato, New Zealand Statistical Approaches to Environmental Spatial Surveillance Dolores Catelan, Univeristy of Florence, Italy A Non-Linear Hierarchical Model for Evidence Synthesis of Safety Data Tim Friede, The University of Warwick, United Kingdom

10:45	Session 7f: Models in Medical Research
	Open Population Capture-Recapture Models and Diabetes in Otago, New Zealand Claire Cameron, University of Otago, New Zealand Score Test for Conditional Independence between Longitudinal Outcome and Time-to-event in the joint Latent Class Model Hélène Jacqmin-Gadda, INSERM, France Parametric Frailty Approach in a Mixture Cure Model joly pierre, inserm U897, France The Importance of Class Prediction in Zero-Inflated Models Mark Gilthorpe, University of leeds, United Kingdom Development and Validation of a Dynamic Prognostic Tool for Prostate Cancer Recurrence based on a Joint Modelling Approach Cecile Proust-Lima, INSERM U897, France Dynamic Modelling of Individual Trajectories of Cardiovascular Risk Factors Hendriek Boshuizen, National Institute of Public Health, Netherlands

10:45	Session 7g: Poster Session 4: Spatial Analysis, Time Series & Capture/Recapture
	Estimation of Terrorist Network Size from Email Contacts Using Capture-recapture Methodology Trent McDonald, Western EcoSystems Technology, Inc., United States Use of Forecasting Capability Indicators for Predication Validation of the Families of Air-Pollution Health Effect Models Michael Friger, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Israel Statistical Soil Grouping and Modelling of Soil Spatial Distribution in Southern Cameroon Martin Yemefack, Institute of Agricultural Research for Development (IRAD), Cameroon Removal Sampling with Migration Raymond Webster, International Pacific Halibut Commission, United States Time Series Analysis on the Incidence of Cerebrospinal Meningitis in Ghana Richard Clottey Anang, University for Development Studies, Ghana Double-observer Distance Sampling Methods: A Llimiting Independence Model Stephen Buckland, University of St Andrews, United Kingdom Identification of Spatial and Temporal Fishing Effort Patterns Using Cluster Analysis of Linear Model Coefficients Under Contiguity Constraints Lise Bellanger, Université de Nantes, France Clumps and Bumps - Measures of Spatial Aggregation Andrew Mead, University of Warwick, United Kingdom Estimating Exploitation Rates of a Migrating Population of Yellowtail Flounders using Multi-state Mark-recapture Methods incorporating Tag Loss and Variable Reporting Rates Laura Cowen, University of Victoria, Canada Spatial Durbin Model for Poverty Mapping and Analysis ATINUKE ADEBANJI, UNIVERSITY OF AGRICULTURE, Nigeria A Bayesian Mark-Recapture Model Adjusting Capture Probabilities for Non-constant Effort Vanessa Cave, University of St Andrews, United Kingdom Spatial Durbin Model for Poverty Mapping and Analysis Thomas Achia, University of Nairobi, Kenya A Model for Spatio-temporally Clustered Disease Rates Ronald Gangnon, University of Wisconsin, United States Seasonal Demographic Trends and Spatial Dispersion of Closely Monitored Populations Chiara Mazzetta, University of Kent, United Kingdom Analyzing the Effects of Air Pollution on Mortality during Heat Waves in the Netherlands (1986-2006) Caroline Ameling, RIVM, Netherlands Covariate Selection in Multivariate Spatial Analysis of Ovine Parasitic Infections Dolores Catelan, Univeristy of Florence, Italy Application of Spatial Statistics to the Evaluation of Trend and Spread of Pollutants in Soil: A Case of an Oil Well in Niger Delta area of Nigeria Durodoluwa Oyedele, Obafemi Awolowo University, Nigeria Spatial-Longitudinal Model Applied to Leptospirosis Incidence Marilia Carvalho, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, Brazil Heterogeneity in Capture-Recapture Methods Joanne Thandrayen, University of South Australia, Australia Variation of Malaria Incidence in the Moneragala District of Sri Lanka: A Spatial Approach Markandu Anputhas, International Water Management Institute, Sri Lanka Predicting the Fate of a Seabird Colony: An Integrated Population Modelling Approach Toby Reynolds, University of St Andrews, United Kingdom Mark-recapture Jolly-Seber Abundance Estimation with Classification Uncertainty Wendell Challenger, Simon Fraser University, Canada

12:30

	Lunch UCD Restaurant

14:00

14:00	Session 8a: Invited Session: Recent developments in longitudinal data analysis
	Chair: Naisyin Wang, Texas A&M University, Texas, USA, United States
	Session Organisers: Stephen Fienberg and Naisyin Wang Sensitivity Testing for Non-Identifiable Models, with Application to Longitudinal Data with Non-informative Dropout Jason Fine, University of North Carolina, United States Longitudinal Grade-of-Membership/Mixed-Membership Models for the National Long Term Care Survey Tanzy Love, Carnegie Mellon University, United States Sampling and Analyses of Longitudinal Data Thomas Scheike, Univeristy of Copenhagen, Denmark Discussant (Geert Molenberghs) General Discussion

14:00	Session 8b: Invited Session: Estimation in complex dynamic biological systems with a non-linear mixed effect models
	Chair: France Mentre, Unviersity Paris Diderot, France
	Session Organiser: France Mentre The SAEM Algorithm in NonLinear Mixed Effects Models Defined by Ordinary Differential Equations with Application in Viral Dynamics Marc Lavielle, INRIA Saclay, France Extension and Applications of BUGS in Models Defined by Differential Equations David Lunn, Medical Research Council, United Kingdom Mixed-Effects Modeling of Dynamic Systems for Longitudinal Data with Applications to HIV/AIDS Hulin Wu, University of Rochester, United States Discussant (Daniel Commenges)

14:00	Session 8c: Inference in Clinical Trials
	Estimation in the Probit Normal Model for Binary Outcomes using the SAEM Algorithm Cristian Meza, Universidad de Valparaíso, Chile Decomposition of Symmetry into Ordinal Quasi-Symmetry and Marginal Equimoment and Orthogonality of Test Statistic for Multi-way Tables Hideharu Yamamoto, Chugai pharmaceutical co.,ltd., Japan Multiple Confidence Procedures for Comparing Three Treatments including a Placebo and a Control Tetsuhisa Miwa, National Institute for Agro-Environmental Sciences, Japan An Analysis of the Controversy Over Classical One-Sided Tests Laurence Freedman, Gertner Institute for Epidemiology and Health Policy Research, Israel Sequential Conditional Probability Ratio Test and Its Applications in Clinical Trials Xiaoping Xiong, St. Jude Children's Research Hospital, United States Statistical Tests based on New Composite Hypotheses for Time to Event Data in Clinical Trials Reflecting the Relative Clinical Importance Masako Nishikawa, National Institute of Public Health, Japan

14:00	Session 8d: Bayesian Methods in Practice
	Rating Crop Insurance Contracts with Skewed Distributions: a Bayesian Approach Vitor Ozaki, University of São Paulo, Brazil Identifying Copy Number Alternations and Loss-of-Heterozygosity in Tumour Samples from SNP Genotyping Data in the Presence of Stromal Contamination and Intra-Tumour Heterogeniety Christopher Yau, University of Oxford, United Kingdom Evaluation of Accuracy of Diagnostic Tests from Repeated Measurements without a Gold Standard – Application to Tests for FMD Virus and Simulation Results Bas Engel, Wageningen University Research, Netherlands Bayesian Hierarchical Clustering: Agglomerative Clustering meets Divisive Clustering Kevin Dawson, Rothamsted Research, United Kingdom Bayesian Approaches in Microbial Risk Assessment Helen Clough, University of Liverpool, United Kingdom Supervised Bayesian Latent Class Models for High-Dimensional Data Rebecca Betensky, Harvard School of Public Health, United States

14:00	Session 8e: Measurement Error
	Correction for Measurement Error of Dichotomized Mismeasured Continuous Predictors Loki Natarajan, University of California San Diego, United States Estimating and Testing Interactions in Linear Regression Models when Explanatory Variables are subject to Non-classical Measurement Error Havi Murad, Gertner Institute for Epidemiology and Health Policy Research, Israel Efficiency of Two-phase Designs to Correct for Measurement Error in Regression Roseanne McNamee, University of Manchester, United Kingdom Reliability of a Longitudinal Sequence of Scale Ratings Annouschka Laenen, Hasselt University, Belgium Modeling Agricultural Production Systems Using Measurement Error Variable Approach Makhala Khoeli, University of Kwazulu Natal, South Africa Multiple Imputation for Covariate Measurement Error Jonathan Bartlett, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom

14:00	Session 8f: Genetics and bioinformatics
	Robust Two-Stage Modelling with Finite Mixture Conditional Distributions Inna Chervoneva, Thomas Jefferson University, United States Bayesian Penalized Cox Model for Microarray Data Giulia Tonini, University of Florence, Italy Comparing False Discovery Rate Estimation Methods for Use in the Analysis of Mass Spectrometric Proteomic Profiling Experiments David Cairns, University of Leeds, United Kingdom A Parametric Correlation Framework for Statistical Evaluation and Estimation of Biometric-based Classification Performance Zach Dietz, Hamilton College, United States Normalisation for Proteomics Data Terry Therneau, Mayo Clinic, United States Analysis of an Outcome Beyond a Detection Limit: Application to HIV RNA Data Nuria Perez-Alvarez, Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya, Spain

14:00	Session 8g: Poster Session 5: Ecological & Environmental Research including Forestry, Fisheries and Wildlife
	Fuzzy Tools for Constructing Robust Statistical Models of Dynamic Systems in Environmental Epidemiology Michael Friger, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Israel Drought Characterisation in an Irrigated Area Isidro Cruz_Medina, Instituto Tecnológico de Sonora, Mexico Joint Spatial Modelling of Recurrent Tree Infection and Growth with Processes under Intermittent Observation Farouk Nathoo, Uviversity of Victoria, Canada Modelling the Growth of North Island Brown Kiwi (Apteryx Mantelli) with Constrained Hierarchical B-Splines Geoffrey Jones, Massey University, New Zealand On the Use of Correlated Beta Random Variables with Animal Population Modelling Carlos Dias, ESALQ-USP, Brazil Statistics: An Essential Tool for Climate Change Assessment Wasana Wijesuriya, Rubber Research Institute of Sri Lanka, Sri Lanka Fixed Effects Models for Dilution Series Data via EM Murray Jorgensen, University of Waikato, New Zealand A Generalised Exponential Model for Determining Water Quality Index (WQI) for the Classification of the Aba River-Abia State, Nigeria Uchenna Ogoke, UNIVERSITY OF PORT HARCOURT, Nigeria Factor Analysis and Clustering of a Mixture of Quantitative and Categorical Forest Biometric and Soil Data Kyriaki Kitikidou, Dimokritos University of Thrace, Greece Environmental and Biological Application of Laser Induced Breakkdown Spectroscopy Olanrewaju Oyewole, Lagos State University, Nigeria Confidence Intervals for Functional Diversity Indices Considering Species Abundance Laura Pla, Universidad Francisco de Miranda, Venezuela Model Selection in Distance Sampling Alpizar-Jara Russell, University of Évora, Portugal Application of Principle Component Analysis on Some Nutrients in Iskenderun Bay, Turkey Levent Sangün, University Of Cukurova , Turkey Influence of Estimators of the Vital rate in the Stock Recovery Rate when Using Matrix Models for Tropical Rainforests Frédéric Mortier, CIRAD, France Likelihood Functions & Chaotic Systems Michael Brimacombe, New Jersey Medical School, United States An Extension of the Simple Matching Index Measuring Multiple Association Nelida Winzer, Universidad nacional del Sur, Argentina Interpretation of Acoustic Tag Signals of Transplanted Black Rockfish Carolyn Huston, Simon Fraser University, Canada Mixed Models Applied in Botany to Estimate Trunk and Branch Crown Ratio Rebeca Aguirre-Hernandez, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, Mexico Optimal Bandwidth Selection in Reconstruction of Wave Height Fields from Light Transmission Data Mayukh Samanta, University College Cork, Ireland Adaptive Cluster Sampling in Forest Inventories Dieter Pelz, University of Freiburg, Germany Missing Values in Sitka Spruce Growth Model Covariates Michael J. Hawkins, UCD, Ireland

15:45

	Coffee Break

16:15

16:15	Session 9a: Invited Session: Statistical methods for genome wide association studies
	Chair: David Balding, Imperial College School of Medicine, United Kingdom
	Session Organisers: Gang Zheng and Peter Donnelly Introduction of Hardy-Weinberg Law (David Balding) Bayesian Multi-SNP Analysis Methods for Association Studies Matthew Stephens, University of Chicago, United States Simultaneous Analysis of all SNPs in a GenomeWide Association Study John Whittaker, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom Bayesian Imputation-based Methods for Genome-wide Association Studies Jonathan Marchini, University of Oxford, United Kingdom General Discussion

16:15	Session 9b: Special Session: Showcase of Best Papers published in Biometrics Theatre L
	Chair: Marie Davidian, North Carolina State University, United States
	Introduction to Best Biometrics Paper Awards (Andrew Mead & Marie Davidian) Semiparametric Regression of Multidimensional Genetic Pathway Data: Least-Squares Kernel Machines and Linear Mixed Models Dawei Liu, Brown University, United States Pairwise Fitting of Mixed Models for the Joint Modeling of Multivariate Repeated Measures Geert Verbeke, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Belgium Discussant (Peter Diggle)

16:15	Session 9c: Analysis of Survival Data
	Identifying Representative Trees in Random Forest for Survival Data Mousumi Banerjee, University of Michigan, United States The Gini Concentration Index in Survival Analysis Marco Bonetti, Universita' Bocconi, Italy Optimal Multi-stage Phase II Design with Sequential Testing within Each Stage for Evaluating Survival Probabilities Stavroula Poulopoulou, University of Athens, Greece Focussed Model Selection for Frailty Models Gilbert Mackenzie , University of Limerick , Ireland Adjusting for Possibly Misclassified Causes of Death in Cause-specific Survival Analysis Bart Van Rompaye, Ghent University, Belgium Joint Modeling of Survival Tiime and Longitudinal Data with Random Change Point Jean de Dieu Tapsoba, Feng Chia University, Taiwan, Province Of China

16:15	Session 9d: Causal Inference in Medical Research
	Conditional Phase-type Distributions for Modelling A&E Trolley Waits Adele Marshall, Queen's Universoty of Belfast, United Kingdom Causal Inference from Observational Data using Mendelian Randomisation Sha Meng, University of Leicester, United Kingdom Empirical and Counterfactual Conditions for Sufficient Cause Interactions Tyler VanderWeele, University of Chicago, United States Orthogonality Versus Parametric Identification: Traditional Instrumental Variables Methods versus Parametric Models A James O'Malley, Harvard Medical School, United States Adjusting for Non-Compliance in a Meta-analyses of Clinical Trials using Pooled Individual Data Timothy R. Church, University of Minnesota School of Public Health, United States Doubly Robust Estimators for Causal parameters in the Exposed Tosiya Sato, Kyoto University School of Public Health, Japan

16:15	Session 9e: Sampling and Experimentation in Ecology
	A Bayesian Study of Ornithological Surveys Ruth King, University of St. Andrews, United Kingdom Alternatives to Estimate the Forest Tree Biomass Tomás Goicoa, Universidad Pública de Navarra (UPNA), Spain Electronic data collection and processing to improve precision and accuracy of perpendicular distance estimation in aerial surveys Matthew Schnupp, Caesar Kleberg Wildlife Research Institute , United States A Model System for Assessing Competition for Site Occupancy Caroline Brophy, University College Dublin, Ireland A Line Intersect Distance Sampling Strategy for Downed Wood Inventory David Affleck, University of Montana, United States Combining Line and Point Transect Adaptively Anabela Afonso, Universidade de Évora, Portugal

16:15	Session 9f: Infectious Diseases
	Measures of Disassortativeness and their Application to Directly Transmitted Infections Heather Whitaker, The Open University, United Kingdom Case Series Analysis for Dependent Recurrent Events Paddy Farrington, Open University, United Kingdom Estimating Transmission Parameters Using Social Contact Data and Serological Data Nele Goeyvaerts, CenStat, Belgium Inference for Epidemic Models using Approximate Bayesian Computation Rob Deardon, University of Guelph, Canada Logrank-type Non-parametric Test for Comparing Survival Functions with Doubly Interval-censored Data Jinheum Kim, University of Suwon, Korea, Republic Of The Statistics of Generation Times in Epidemic Spread Models Gianpaolo Scalia Tomba, University of Rome "Tor Vergata", Italy

16:15	Session 9g: Poster Session 6: Agriculture
	Evaluation of Varietal and Moisture Content Effect of Some Cowpea Varieties (Vigna Unguiculata (L) Walp) on their Bulk Density, Particle Density and Porosity Olugbemi Olujimi, Research & Marketing Services Limited, Nigeria Formulating Mixed Models for Experiments, including Longitudinal Experiments Chris Brien, University of South Australia, Australia Cyclic Changes in Daily Body Weight of High Producing Dairy Cows are associated with Ovarian Activity Michael Friger, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Israel On Asymptotic Distributions of Two Tests for Multivariate Normality based on Kurtosis Joanna Tarasinska, University of Agriculture, Poland A Test for Multivariate Normality based on Graphical Methods Zofia Hanusz, University of Agriculture, Poland Evaluation of Generalized Randomized Complete Block Design as a Solution to Overdispersion in Field Experiments Sembakutti Samita, University of Peradeniya, Sri Lanka A Friendly Interfact to the Lime and GLS Funcations in R Julio Alejandro Di Rienzo, Universidad Nacional de Córdoba, Argentina Tests of Additivity in Mixed and Fixed Effects Two-way ANOVA Models with Single Subclass Numbers Dieter Rasch, Universität für Bodenkultur Wien, Austria Application of Composite Samples to a Grape Ripening Monitoring Katarina Kosmelj, Biotechnical Faculty, University of Ljubljana, Slovenia V- and D-optimal Population Designs for the Quadratic Regression Model with a Random Intercept Term Legesse Kassa Debusho, University of Pretoria, South Africa Distribution-Free Multiple Imputation in an Interaction Matrix, Using the Singular Value Decomposition Carlos Dias, ESALQ-USP, Brazil E-optimal Block Design with Nested Rows and Columns for Research on Alternative Methods of Limiting Slug Damage Maria Kozlowska, Agricultural University of Poznan, Poland, Poland Determination of Instars of Coffee Leafminer (LEUCOPTERA COFFEELLA) Using Mixture Models Raul Macchiavelli, University of Puerto Rico, Puerto Rico Tillage and Fertilizer Effects in Sole Maize Cropping in a Degraded Nigerian Alfisol Vincent Aduramigba-Modupe, Institute of Agricultural Research and Training, Nigeria Derivative Estimation, B- Splines and P-Splines in R Andrew Simpkin, NUI, Galway, Ireland Application of Canonical Discriminant Analysis to Soil Classification Damian Asawalam, Michael Okpara University of Agriculture, Umudike, Nigeria Condidtional Hierarchical Linear Models in Soil Sampling Surveys Adriana Anahí Gili, Conicet - Universidad Nacional de La Pampa, Argentina Spatial Variation of Soil Organic Carbon in Linear Simultaneous Agroforestry System Susan Tumwebaze, State University of Newyork, College of Enviromental Science and Forestry, United States Variation in the Chinese Adzuki Bean Germplasm Kaye Basford, University of Queensland, Australia Comparison of Several Statistical Methods for the Spatial Analysis of Early Generation Variety Trials Zivan Karaman, Limagrain Verneuil Holding, France Phospholipid Fatty Acids and Analysis of Distance for Compositional Data Rodger White, Rothamsted Research, United Kingdom Pre-hatch Sex Determination of Broiler Chicks Olatunji Abanikannda, Lagos State University, Nigeria Agro-morphological Variation in Maize (Zea mays L.) Accessions of Lowland Humid Forest in Cameroon Celicard Zonkeng Guepi, Institute of Agricultural Research (IRAD), Cameroon Study about the Homogeneity of the Dispersion in a Completely Randomized Design with Data of Proportions and Counts Luis A Lopez P, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Colombia Fitting Mixture Distributions to Left-truncated and Right Censored Grass Sward Heights Ian Nevison, BioSS, United Kingdom Hidden Semi-Markov Models for Detecting Reproductive Status in Cattle Jared O'Connell, Aarhus Universitet, Denmark A Revisit to the Determination of Optimum Plot Size in Field Experiments SATYABRATA PAL, NSHM College of Management & Technology, previously, BCKV, Mohanpur, Nadia, W. b., India, India Statistical Modelling of Disease Out Break in Silkworm (Bombyx mori. L) M.N.ANANTHARAMAN RAMAN, KARNATAKA STATE SERICULTURE RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT INSTITUTE, India Embedding a State Space Model into a Markov Decision Process Lars Relund Nielsen, University of Aarhus, Denmark Cart Analysis for the Determination of LIQUIDAMBAR STYRACIFLUA L. Varieties martin souto, University of Santiago de Compostela, Spain Compositional Data Analysis of Repeated Measures in Grasses Francisco J. Babinec, EEA Anguil, INTA, Argentina Selection Index under Various Dispersion Structures for Experiments in Different Cropping Systems Pawel Krajewski, Institute of Plant Genetics, Poland Zero-inflated Regression for Modelling Species Abundance in Relation to Habitat: A Bayesian Approach Roseli Leandro, USP-ESALQ, Brazil

18:15

	IBS Awards Ceremony and Fisher Memorial Lecture Lecture Theatre L


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